The X Factor system is a betting strategy built around one of the most unpredictable yet rewarding outcomes in football: the draw. In this guide, we’ll break down how the system works, why it can be an attractive option for bettors looking to capitalize on higher odds, and how to use it smartly to boost your chances of success—no matter which league you follow.
What Is the X Factor System?
The X Factor system is a betting strategy based on selecting 10 football matches that are expected to end in a draw. Since draws (denoted as “X” in 1X2 betting) often come with the highest odds in the Full-Time Result market, this system can offer very attractive potential payouts—especially with a bit of luck and smart selection.
To be clear, this has no connection to the TV show X Factor—this system has nothing to do with music or entertainment. It’s designed entirely for sports betting, and if used correctly, it can generate profits starting from the fourth correct prediction.
In this guide, we’ll explore the foundations of the X Factor betting system, how to use it effectively, and what pros and cons it brings when included in your football betting strategies on top-tier bookmakers.
How the Draw System Works
Let’s now break down how the X Factor system (also known as the “draw system”) works, particularly popular among football betting fans. Follow the five simple steps below to understand the logic behind it and how to apply it in your next betting session.
Step 1: Log into your account
Access your betting account or sign up with a trusted online sportsbook to start creating your X Factor system bet.
Step 2: Fill out the bet slip
Choose 10 football matches from any league (or use the reduced version with 5 matches) and bet on the draw outcome (X) with minimum odds of 3.00 per selection.
Step 3: Select “System” mode
In your bet slip, select the System option (instead of Single or Accumulator) to activate the X Factor system.
Step 4: Set your stake per combination
This is the most crucial step. Assign €0.25 or more per combination, excluding the “single” field if available. Each possible combo (doubles, trebles, etc.) will carry that stake.
Step 5: Wait for the matches
Now just sit back and watch the matches unfold. With four correct draw predictions (or three, if you’re using the 5-match version), you’ll already be in profit territory.
As with any betting strategy, the X Factor system requires some practice. The two main pillars are:
- Keeping the minimum odds at 3.00 or higher, and
- Properly distributing your stake across all possible combinations.
📊 A Real-World Example
As we’ve seen, the X Factor system isn’t particularly complicated. Let’s clarify it even further with a concrete example using the reduced version with 5 matches. These games were selected from top online sportsbooks, focusing on draw odds of at least 3.00.
| Stake per Column | Match | Draw Odds | Draw Hit Order | Estimated Return |
| €1 | Verona vs Sassuolo | 3.35 | 1 | ~€3.50 |
| €1 | Cagliari vs Spezia | 3.40 | 2 | ~€10 |
| €1 | Union Berlin vs Leverkusen | 3.30 | 3 | ~€55 |
| €1 | Köln vs Hertha Berlin | 3.25 | 4 | ~€310 |
| €1 | Newcastle vs West Ham | 3.40 | 5 | ~€1,350 |
We’re placing a system bet on draws. With 5 matches selected, the bet generates 26 possible combinations:
- 10 Doubles
- 10 Trebles
- 5 Four-folds
- 1 Five-fold
At €1 per combination, the total bet is €26. As shown in the table, from the third correct draw onward, your bet is likely to move into profitable territory.
How to Make the Most of the X Factor Betting System
Are there any tips or tricks to help you get the most out of the X Factor system? Absolutely—though it’s less about shortcuts and more about smart betting practices that increase your confidence and consistency.
Start by choosing licensed and regulated online bookmakers, preferably those with a strong reputation for fair play. This ensures a safe betting environment where your investments are protected.
If you’re planning to use the draw system, there’s no room for guesswork. You need to:
- Identify bookmakers offering the best 1X2 draw odds
- Have solid knowledge of the teams and leagues you’re betting on
- Understand how system bets work
Because of this, the X Factor strategy may not be ideal for beginners, who might prefer simpler and more intuitive options, like the PONG system.
Pros and Cons of Betting with the X Factor System
Like any betting strategy, the X Factor system comes with its own set of strengths and limitations. Let’s break them down:
Pros
- High-value odds: Draws in football are typically well-priced—it’s rare to see odds below 2.00.
- Early payouts possible: You can secure a net profit from as few as 3 or 4 correct draws, depending on the number of matches selected.
- Great value system: This strategy leverages the high odds of draws, making it potentially very profitable.
Cons
- Requires strong football knowledge: You must be well-informed about the leagues and teams involved—nothing should be left to chance.
- System betting understanding: You need to know how system bets work and how they’re calculated.
- Not beginner-friendly: Due to the analytical and strategic nature of the system, it’s better suited for experienced bettors.
Turning Draws into Big Wins
Our guide to the X Factor system (also known as the draw system) is now coming to a close. We’ve explained what this strategy is, how it works with a practical example, its key benefits, and the level of preparation it requires.
If you feel confident in your knowledge of football and how system bets work, the X Factor strategy might be just what you need to take your betting to the next level.
